Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch Maya must unravel an ancient

Maya must unravel an ancient mystery that spans reincarnated lives to save those she loves the most…including herself

It raises the subject of the future of Islamic theology and makes a genuine contribution to this debate

and Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

"    --Michael Glass

Superforecasting - The Art and Science of Prediction Richard Koch Maya must unravel an ancientThe most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow. Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future, whether buying stocks, crafting policy, launching a new product, or simply planning the weeks meals. Unfortunately, people tend to be terrible forecasters. As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an